Polymarket Trader

0x8E38316e397baC51BBE1db140884f7c93AE81A4A-1768929911886

0x8e38316e397bac51bbe1db140884f7c93ae81a4a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $80.97
Realized PnL: $522.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $679.46
Potential profit: $679.46
User PnL: -$7.57

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.75
Potential profit: $350.75
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.94
Potential profit: $342.94
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $306.67
Potential profit: $304.99
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $279.84
Potential profit: $278.86
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $23.42
Potential payout: $260.19
Potential profit: $236.77
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$23.58

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.22
Potential profit: $249.22
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.32
Potential profit: $215.32
User PnL: -$11.09

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $207.19
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $25.92
Potential payout: $207.36
Potential profit: $181.44
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$12.1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.6
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $172.25
Potential profit: $171.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $133.94
Potential profit: $133.74
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.52
Potential profit: $129.52
User PnL: -$10.44

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $109.29
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$5.79

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $111.67
Potential profit: $109.15
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $106.72
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $97.22
Potential profit: $85.07
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.06
Potential profit: $94.06
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.97

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?

Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12?

Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?

Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?

Yes 5% 40 shares
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 34% 8.82 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?

Yes 5% 42.85 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 4% 65.37 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.4% 161.83 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?

Yes 7% 42.86 shares