Polymarket Trader

Fedor08

0x8e4bce4b02b1487df42fd30129ba2a2525c3cac2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.37
Realized PnL: $547.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.39
Potential profit: $551.39
User PnL: -$49.39

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $486.25
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.99
Potential profit: $184.99
User PnL: -$78.94

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.65
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$72.25

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$77.65

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $87.49
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$9.62

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$36.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will PSG beat Chelsea?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$23

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $24.38
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$17

No position

Yoon in jail before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.9

No position

Bitcoin all time high by July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$16.3

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $25.72
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.02

No position

Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.12

No position

Will South Korean President lift martial law today?

Ends Dec 3, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.86

No position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Yes position

Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.33

No position

North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.75

No position

GTA VI released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.71

No position

Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.68

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 17 at 5 PM ET?

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Exact Score: Sporting CP 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.88

No position

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.47

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on July 7 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

No position

Lula out before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

No position

Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79

No position

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Tsunoda position

F1 Belgian GP: Hadjar vs. Tsunoda

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

No position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

No position

New pandemic in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?

Yes 16% 50 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 57% 50 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 35% 150 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 70% 50 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 72% 30 shares
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Under 73% 4.08 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

No 81% 10 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 79% 20 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 41% 20 shares
Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?

Norris 51% 10 shares

Fedor08

Open positions

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Israel strikes Iran by September 30?

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?

US recession by end of 2026?

Will Trump visit China before September?

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Will PSG beat Chelsea?

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?

Yoon in jail before August?

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Bitcoin all time high by July 11?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?

Closed positions

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Will South Korean President lift martial law today?

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?

North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?

GTA VI released in 2025?

Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 17 at 5 PM ET?

Exact Score: Sporting CP 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on July 7 at 5PM ET?

Lula out before April?

Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June 22?

Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?

F1 Belgian GP: Hadjar vs. Tsunoda

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Will no listed leader be out in 2025?

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?

New pandemic in 2025?

Recent trades

Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?