No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $225.37
- Potential payout
- $225.48
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $2.37
Polymarket Trader
3abgrwq
0x8e5a4315fbbdb998a4dfe8be5814b643d0f2664b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $428.28
- Realized PnL
- $106.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $140.85
- Potential payout
- $140.99
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $62.07
- Potential payout
- $62.1
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.86
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Solana all time high in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 99.3% 140.99 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.8% 133 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 98.9% 225.48 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 97.9% 195.1 shares
- Netanyahu out by May 31?No 99.2% 269.15 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 97.5% 143.59 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 96.6% 186.34 shares
- Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Yes 99.6% 182.6 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.8% 226.99 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 98.6% 172.41 shares
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No 97.2% 166 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?No 98% 176.53 shares