Polymarket Trader

royceai1989

0x8e6bd19b50b9b97e0cf183b338348546959d2ffc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $772.55
Realized PnL: $353.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $469.48
Potential payout: $535.63
Potential profit: $66.15
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $238.15

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $137.7
Potential payout: $324
Potential profit: $186.3
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $22.46
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $89.54
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$5.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $63.36
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $16.64
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.99
Potential profit: $65.99
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $58
User PnL: -$9.86

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $10.92
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $12.08
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $18.63
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $18.49
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $7.65
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $12.11
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 6-12?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.57
Potential profit: $12.57
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.48
Potential profit: $7.48
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.73

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.04

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.27

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.19

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.92

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 77.8% 8 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 77.2% 17 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 77.2% 34 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 77.2% 16 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 24.7% 112 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 42% 5 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 42% 7 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 42% 9 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 42% 13 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 37.1% 77 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 42% 5 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 42% 7 shares