Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $979
- Potential profit
- $979
- User PnL
- -$20.2
Polymarket Trader
tw168.eth
0x8e8288f240f6ffd2a4202574dfdd95945325ce41
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.88
- Realized PnL
- $626.03
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.85
- Potential profit
- $316.85
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.29
- Potential profit
- $243.29
- User PnL
- -$54.46
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.44
- Potential profit
- $240.44
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.56
- Potential profit
- $229.56
- User PnL
- -$7.53
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168
- Potential profit
- $168
- User PnL
- -$48.5
Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $158
- Potential profit
- $145.28
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$19.01
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118
- Potential profit
- $118
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.9
- Potential profit
- $116.9
- User PnL
- -$15.02
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $56
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.84
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.14
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.53
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.68
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.59
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.44
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$205.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 23.5% 21 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes 1.6% 103.7 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes 48% 72 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes 4.5% 43.15 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 14% 14 shares
- Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes 6% 18 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes 8.9% 56 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes 72% 15 shares
- Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes 23% 17 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes 74% 15 shares
- Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes 27% 101.04 shares