Polymarket Trader

canyonboy

@canyonnn

0x8e87f24538c3f77440451d223eb08618347028d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $696.84
Realized PnL: $2.48K
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.8K
Potential profit: $56.8K
User PnL: -$5.07K

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26K
Potential profit: $26K
User PnL: -$3.38K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.88K
Potential profit: $18.88K
User PnL: -$2.76K

Yes position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $696.84
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $6.27K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$246.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $5.04K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$136.99

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$339.99

No position

Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$63.04

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$91.5

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$329.72

No position

Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$130.27

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$495

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$143.8

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.21
Potential profit: $909.21
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.97
Potential profit: $799.97
User PnL: -$136

Yes position

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $779.3
Potential profit: $779.3
User PnL: -$18.4

Yes position

Bybit insolvent in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.95
Potential profit: $399.95
User PnL: -$47.99

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319
Potential profit: $319
User PnL: -$23

No position

Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.93
Potential profit: $199.93
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.94
Potential profit: $153.94
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $360

No position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.2

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.94

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Hailey Welch apologize by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?

Ends May 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.4

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.81

Yes position

Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.99x
User PnL: -$22.85

Yes position

GME halted today?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Elon no longer world's richest before August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120.2

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$126.88

Bengals position

Bengals vs. Chargers

Ends Nov 25, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$250

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Yes 17% 353.57 shares
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Yes 16% 501.25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 46% 1,999.98 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 53% 2,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 50% 2,000 shares
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Yes 9% 550 shares
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Yes 8% 1,000.4 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Yes 60.4% 200 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 0.2% 75,000 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 0.2% 50,000 shares
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 3.4% 300 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

No 99.7% 199.99 shares