Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.4
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $3.6
Polymarket Trader
0x8e92...9b2e
0x8e92042da06bd022a43b41f187be6ee580bd9b2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $84.83
- Realized PnL
- $3.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $199.83
- Potential profit
- $197.13
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $39.2
- Potential payout
- $110.43
- Potential profit
- $71.23
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $55.67
- Potential profit
- $52.72
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $24.13
- Potential profit
- $13.63
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $19.49
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $5.71
- Potential payout
- $18.73
- Potential profit
- $13.02
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.47
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.22x
- User PnL
- $3.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 91.9% 1.09 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 93.2% 1.07 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 91.9% 1.09 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 93.5% 1.07 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 92.2% 1.08 shares
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 20.3% 4.58 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 91.6% 1.09 shares