Polymarket Trader

Kvasir

0x8ea3af44c3e147e546f877a1afa1b17a0b1852a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.57K
Realized PnL: $1.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $850
User PnL: -$697

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $352.11
Potential payout: $421.69
Potential profit: $69.58
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $302.44
Potential payout: $366.59
Potential profit: $64.15
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$12.51

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $153.17
Potential payout: $211.27
Potential profit: $58.1
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$168

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $117.38
Potential payout: $159.7
Potential profit: $42.32
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$3.99

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $143.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $90.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $59.25
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$93.75

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$103.4

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $95.15
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $14.26

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $93.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.5

No position

World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $97.94
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $2.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.65

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.12
Potential profit: $52.12
User PnL: -$32.31

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $49.35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $48.7
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$19.5

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $12.59
Potential payout: $14.31
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $9.64
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.22
Potential profit: $8.22
User PnL: -$7.4

No position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$4.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.52

No position

US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.45

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.97

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.25

No position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.68

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.39

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.34

No position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.8

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.88

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.81

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.34

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.37

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.17

Yes position

Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.43

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.38

No position

Will US leave NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.11

No position

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 71% 211.27 shares
Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.2% 213.94 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?

No 90% 111.11 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?

No 90% 100 shares
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 93% 200 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Portugal 71.7% 139.37 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 75% 30 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 75% 74.38 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 421.69 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

No 97.3% 215.05 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

No 93% 150 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

No 93% 215.05 shares