xxgarou

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $62.11
Potential profit: $61.3
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $61.11
Potential profit: $61.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $57.89
Potential profit: $57.49
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.62
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $53.54
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $42.93
Potential profit: $42.72
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $38.6
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $38.27
Potential profit: $37.54
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $37.93
Potential profit: $37.65
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $34.46
Potential profit: $33.72
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $33.43
Potential profit: $33.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $29.73
Potential profit: $29.42
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $28.51
Potential profit: $19.16
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $26.33
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $20.22
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $18.64
Potential profit: $17.58
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $18.33
Potential profit: $17.14
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $18.03
Potential profit: $16.62
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 2?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $17.36
Potential profit: $16.38
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $16.83
Potential profit: $13.79
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $15.5
Potential profit: $15.43
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $15.49
Potential profit: $14.58
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $13.6
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $13.75
Potential profit: $13.72
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.05

Down position

XRP Up or Down - April 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET