Polymarket Trader

iiiuhih

0x8eb2c3a870cd0e61523a31923610a810a52ab38b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $403.35
Realized PnL: $978.37
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.97K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $65.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $934.5
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $983.48
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $141.8
Potential payout: $616.54
Potential profit: $474.73
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$58.2

Yes position

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.28
Potential profit: $372.28
User PnL: -$48.4

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $42.72
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $257.28
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$11.28

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $51.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $198.25
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$38.25

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $23.58
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $96.42
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$13.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.8

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $174.81

No position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.21

No position

Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.63

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.16

Yes position

Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.6

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.92

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.77

No position

Will 50 Cent attend the RNC?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

Will Tim Walz say "Haitian" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "ear" during RNC speech?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.05

Yes position

No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.22

No position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

No position

Will Trump say "fake news" during RNC speech?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.95

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 32.4% 616.54 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 58.2% 90.42 shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.2% 3,000 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.9% 148.23 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 31% 120 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18% 300 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

No 98.8% 120 shares
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6% 4,000 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 36% 250 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5.2% 1,000 shares
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Yes 57.8% 120 shares
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares