Polymarket Trader

0x8eb6...5277

0x8eb63dc591dbccd688dc61854b351aa90a7e5277

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.04
Realized PnL: $138.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.88
Potential profit: $130.88
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $89.17
Potential profit: $89.12
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.96

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.95
Potential profit: $63.95
User PnL: -$6

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $34.88
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.96
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.87
Potential profit: $29.87
User PnL: -$4.5

Liverpool FC position

Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.42
Potential profit: $25.42
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.51
Potential profit: $22.51
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $14.15
Potential profit: $14.07
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$1.5

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.78
Potential profit: $10.78
User PnL: -$4.42

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $8.84
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.37

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Sharks

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $8.98
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.5

Marco Trungelliti position

Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovic

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.17
Potential profit: $8.17
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $6.59
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.61

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $5.17

Francisco Cerundolo position

HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Over position

AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Taylor Fritz position

Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Over position

Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Renata Zarazua position

Credit One Charleston Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazua

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Over position

Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Magic position

Timberwolves vs. Magic

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 81.2% 1.85 shares
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 24?

No 99.6% 1.51 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 86% 1.72 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96% 1.56 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81% 1.85 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81% 1.85 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81% 1.85 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 14% 10.71 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 80% 1.88 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91% 1.65 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 37.4% 4.01 shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Vitality 83% 1.81 shares