Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.5
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Polymarket Trader
0x8ed8...4cae
0x8ed85c4923de9e5c8a9396483ce07419f3a64cae
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $6.44
- Realized PnL
- -$0.1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $6.44
- Potential payout
- $12.38
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 51% 3.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp 94% 1.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp 99% 1.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown 2% 92.5 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes 39% 12.38 shares