0x8edc...80d8

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $37.59
Potential payout: $90.59
Potential profit: $52.99
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $38.91
Potential payout: $87.43
Potential profit: $48.52
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $33.7
Potential payout: $85.31
Potential profit: $51.61
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $21.63
Potential payout: $83.19
Potential profit: $61.56
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$9.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $27.67
Potential payout: $77.95
Potential profit: $50.28
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $29.6
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $47.28
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $28.83
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $48.05
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $26.51
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $50.36
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $33.06
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $43.82
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $44.69
Potential payout: $75.1
Potential profit: $30.42
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $13.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $37.02
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $37.76
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $31.03
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $38.89
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $35.89
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $34.03
Potential payout: $74.78
Potential profit: $40.76
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $38.38
Potential payout: $73.8
Potential profit: $35.42
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $8.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $41.06
Potential payout: $72.69
Potential profit: $31.63
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $33.95
Potential payout: $72.24
Potential profit: $38.29
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $32.13
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $38.48
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $32.83
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $37.77
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $30.01
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $40.6
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $35.3
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $35.3
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $34.13
Potential payout: $70.36
Potential profit: $36.24
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $28.86
Potential payout: $69.55
Potential profit: $40.68
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $30.25
Potential payout: $69.55
Potential profit: $39.29
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 10?