0x8ee7...4b2a

Implied probability: 59.4%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $2.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $2.52
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $1.65
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation?

Implied probability: 65.9%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$0.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Team Spirit to win 2-0?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?