Polymarket Trader

0x8eef6282CACE2eC858BBE4BdBbbFd5db377A7066-1769601991721

0x8eef6282cace2ec858bbe4bdbbbfd5db377a7066

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $112.36
Realized PnL: $64.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $95.38
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$124.62

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $675.68
User PnL: -$250

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $654.92
Potential profit: $654.92
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $398.04
Potential profit: $398.04
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.65
Potential profit: $367.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $15.61
Potential payout: $283.88
Potential profit: $268.27
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$28.39

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $211.25
Potential profit: $209.88
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$65.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.46

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

Yes 25.1% 398.04 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?

Yes 15.5% 283.88 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Yes 13.6% 367.65 shares
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15, 2026?

No 4.7% 2,130.66 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 62% 392.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Yes 39.2% 128.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Yes 22.5% 128.73 shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?

Yes 11.7% 1,873.79 shares
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?

No 38.2% 654.92 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 31.7% 211.25 shares