No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Polymarket Trader
yourfavguru
0x8efd981a400b99eefc030d9b504c2f9f94cb1891
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $115.37
- Realized PnL
- $10.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
N
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C or higher on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Anton Shepp position
Lincoln: Jack Kennedy vs Anton Shepp
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Saskatchewan Roughriders position
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Sara Bejlek position
Athens Open: Viktoria Morvayova vs Sara Bejlek
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Prizmic position
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on July 14?No 89% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?No 92% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?No 92.2% 7.37 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?No 97.7% 4.5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 17?Yes 95.9% 5 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?Yes 90.2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 14?No 92% 5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 93% 5 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 98.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?No 92.3% 2.63 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of July 13 2026?No 96.3% 15 shares
- Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?Yes 94% 5 shares