Polymarket Trader

0x8f0e...5bec

0x8f0ebf508974a3d0c51e4c8a73b45d2385215bec

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $46.12
Realized PnL: -$12.5
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.53
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $75.96
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $75.96
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $38.33
Potential profit: $31.24
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $31.92
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $27.54
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.1
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $19.47
Potential profit: $14.52
Multiplier: 3.93x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $14.75
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $10.67
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$0.04

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 11.27x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $9.07
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.05

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $8.39
Potential profit: $5.42
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 42.1%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $7.1
Potential profit: $4.11
Multiplier: 2.37x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.23
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.43

Over position

Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 33.9%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 2.95x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $5.8
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: -$0.08

Over position

Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.47
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $0.86

Belgium position

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Belgium position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

Under position

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.23

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Belgium position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes 22% 9.09 shares
Will the fight be won by submission?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

No 30% 3.33 shares
Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway 9% 11.11 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5

Over 34% 5.88 shares