Polymarket Trader

Jolic

0x8f118d2cd9cba7d9ba9e8b0115c863587c0c4eac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.89K
Realized PnL: $48.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.89K
Potential profit: $40.89K
User PnL: -$25.87K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.27K
Potential profit: $32.27K
User PnL: -$27.51K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.23K
Potential profit: $12.23K
User PnL: -$11.49K

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $6.54K
Potential payout: $7.51K
Potential profit: $976.64
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $535.97

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: $149.95

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $623.2
Potential profit: $623.2
User PnL: -$455.98

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $472.4
Potential profit: $472.4
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.4
Potential profit: $304.4
User PnL: -$250

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.06K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944.18

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $902.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $815.79

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $793.76

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $786.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $689.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $603.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.27

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 53% 188.68 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 62% 645.16 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 43.5% 459.51 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 38.9% 231.41 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 41% 609.76 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 44.9% 1,112.82 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 42% 595.24 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 43.5% 575.34 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

No 86% 1,996.41 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 69.8% 3,580.52 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 40% 4,076.18 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 94% 16,304.76 shares