Yes position
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Polymarket Trader
rocky42019
0x8f13db915cca106e6330e8a39996c0a875d8daae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.98K
- Realized PnL
- $48.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.38
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.55
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.67
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $88.55
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$52.97
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $985.41
- Potential profit
- $983.93
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$20.61
Yes position
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $935.08
- Potential profit
- $934.61
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.42
Yes position
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $848.4
- Potential profit
- $847.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.17
Yes position
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $844.55
- Potential profit
- $844.12
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $828.76
- Potential profit
- $828.35
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.11
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $821.15
- Potential profit
- $811.3
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$61.65
Kevin Borjas position
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $123.5
- Potential payout
- $748.49
- Potential profit
- $624.99
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$18.67
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $181.07
- Potential payout
- $739.08
- Potential profit
- $558.01
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$14.7
No position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $83.33
- Potential payout
- $694.42
- Potential profit
- $611.09
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.82
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $210.04
- Potential payout
- $656.38
- Potential profit
- $446.34
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$8.63
Yes position
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $626.28
- Potential profit
- $625.35
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$10.22
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $51.06
- Potential payout
- $537.51
- Potential profit
- $486.44
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$68.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $25.76
- Potential payout
- $531.05
- Potential profit
- $505.29
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$8.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $406.32
- Potential profit
- $405.71
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.02
Yes position
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $7.03
- Potential payout
- $360.72
- Potential profit
- $353.69
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$24.73
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $304.73
- Potential profit
- $304.58
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $259.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $24.6
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $275.4
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
USDC depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $6.42
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $293.58
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $20.54
- Potential payout
- $299.92
- Potential profit
- $279.37
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $40.49
- Potential payout
- $299.91
- Potential profit
- $259.42
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$34.52
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $20.99
- Potential payout
- $299.84
- Potential profit
- $278.85
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $25.46
- Potential payout
- $299.53
- Potential profit
- $274.07
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $152.63
- Potential payout
- $299.28
- Potential profit
- $146.65
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $58.35
- Potential payout
- $299.25
- Potential profit
- $240.9
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $299.08
- Potential profit
- $298.03
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.84
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $296.83
- Potential profit
- $295.94
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $10.22
- Potential payout
- $296.25
- Potential profit
- $286.03
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $7.95
Yes position
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $45.56
- Potential payout
- $293.94
- Potential profit
- $248.38
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$36.74
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $8.69
- Potential payout
- $289.58
- Potential profit
- $280.89
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $42.16
- Potential payout
- $272
- Potential profit
- $229.84
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $264.69
- Potential profit
- $258.6
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $24.66
- Potential payout
- $259.63
- Potential profit
- $234.96
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.74
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $230.05
- Potential payout
- $248.7
- Potential profit
- $18.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.22
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $62.97
- Potential payout
- $242.2
- Potential profit
- $179.23
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$70.24
Yes position
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $92.88
- Potential payout
- $229.32
- Potential profit
- $136.45
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $40.75
Yes position
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $204.58
- Potential profit
- $203.97
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
DAI depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $15.23
- Potential payout
- $203
- Potential profit
- $187.78
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $23.78
- Potential payout
- $199.02
- Potential profit
- $175.24
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- $11.1
South Africa position
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $129.28
- Potential payout
- $178.32
- Potential profit
- $49.04
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $11.59
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $40.04
- Potential payout
- $170.36
- Potential profit
- $130.33
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.95
Yes position
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $57.87
- Potential payout
- $158.56
- Potential profit
- $100.68
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$17.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will EC Vitória win on 2025-10-20?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Over position
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 62-63°F on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Over position
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Jodar position
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodar
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Over position
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Over position
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Under position
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Over position
FC Nantes vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Damac Saudi Club position
Spread: Damac Saudi Club (-1.5)
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Over position
Hellas Verona FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Honduras position
Concacaf Gold Cup: Panama vs. Honduras (To Advance)
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Over position
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Under position
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $992.87
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $985.1
Yes position
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.73
Over position
Independiente Medellín vs. América de Cali: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $961.69
Yes position
Will Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $956.7
Yes position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.16
Over position
Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $943.44
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.94
Over position
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $928.96
Over position
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $914.5
Yes position
Will Delfino Pescara 1936 win on 2026-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $913.2
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.53
Over position
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.34
Yes position
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $909.88
Yes position
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $906.6
Over position
Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.83
Over position
Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $900.23
Over position
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $892.68
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888.82
Over position
Once Caldas vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888.39
AS Karditsas position
Tofas vs. AS Karditsas
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888
Yes position
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $871.82
Kings position
Pelicans vs. Kings
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.78
Yes position
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.41
Over position
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853.87
Over position
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $837.47
Yes position
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.11
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.07
Yes position
Will Vejle BK vs. Randers FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820
Yes position
England vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.98
Yes position
Will Le Mans FC vs. En Avant Guingamp end in a draw?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 17?Yes 17.8% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 16?No 20% 12.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 89.6% 77 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?No 52% 538 shares
- Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma GalfiDalma Galfi 23% 300 shares
- ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan MiIlay Yoruk 86% 12 shares
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsFUT Esports 55% 176 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?No 21% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?Yes 79% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?No 33% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?No 42% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 10?Yes 5% 5.5 shares