Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $6.15K
- Potential payout
- $11.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Polymarket Trader
TOPO85
0x8f15a54a4ffb33611e7a45cf991ddd622f92c363
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.42K
- Realized PnL
- $15.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $358.24
- Potential payout
- $4.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$441.76
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $458.86
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $118.86
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $452.05
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$331.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.11
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $217.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $200.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.05
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.4
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $16.96
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.09
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 11.5% 2,960.39 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54.4% 1,471.92 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 53.5% 560.81 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No 89.1% 333.41 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 26.9% 2,916.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 889.15 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes 19% 4,214.59 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No 90% 333.41 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 61.1% 817.74 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 56.3% 533.27 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?No 95.3% 132.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 97.2% 326.08 shares