Polymarket Trader

0x8F25459C2E672c0396788e0b378E2622a94D056E-1731449168671

0x8f25459c2e672c0396788e0b378e2622a94d056e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $146.11
Realized PnL: $295.18
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $474.72
Potential profit: $474.72
User PnL: -$149.91

Yes position

Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.35
Potential profit: $276.35
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $70.69
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $101.72
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$29.31

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $38.13
Potential payout: $169.45
Potential profit: $131.32
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $144
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $37.3
Potential payout: $132.96
Potential profit: $95.66
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $10.97

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.57
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.42

Yes position

Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.77

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.53

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.88

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $6.55

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$83.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.8% 132.96 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 50 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 49.18 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 55% 62.5 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?

Yes 10% 144 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Yes 28% 53.57 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Yes 8% 125 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Wolves 43% 41.35 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 48% 62.5 shares
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Yes 23.6% 169.45 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 40.3% 115.61 shares