Polymarket Trader

erhaerha

0x8f34317d77df46497d4596dc9bacb36e58034d16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.25
Realized PnL: $1.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Japan to score first vs. Sweden?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Yes 94.2% 7.96 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Yes 99% 2.02 shares
Japan to score first vs. Sweden?

Yes 99% 5.05 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 98.5% 70 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 88% 8.33 shares

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