Polymarket Trader

TimothyKennedy1931

@Joy693723778125

0x8f3ed571efdf649a2b7f874fbcd8b877e97ff9d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.08K
Realized PnL: $5.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$1.06K

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $742.35
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $267.65
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $95.95

OpenAI position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $865
Potential profit: $865
User PnL: -$120.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727.99
Potential profit: $727.99
User PnL: -$553.27

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $681
Potential profit: $681
User PnL: -$76.95

Over position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $650
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $318.5

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $598
Potential profit: $586.64
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$66.38

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.8%
Current value: $329.15
Potential payout: $580
Potential profit: $250.85
Multiplier: 1.76x
User PnL: -$101.21

No position

Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $544
Potential profit: $544
User PnL: -$130.56

No position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 21?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516
Potential profit: $516
User PnL: -$113.52

No position

Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501
Potential profit: $501
User PnL: -$245.49

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486
Potential profit: $486
User PnL: -$58.32

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $444
User PnL: -$119.88

Fenerbahce position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $431
Potential profit: $431
User PnL: -$210.33

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 11, 11PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $333
User PnL: -$166.5

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $82.95
Potential payout: $313
Potential profit: $230.06
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$54.78

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $297
Potential profit: $291.36
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$56.73

No position

Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $256
Potential payout: $256
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

New pandemic in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221
Potential profit: $221
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203
Potential profit: $203
User PnL: -$2.44

No position

Will Infrared launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192
Potential profit: $192
User PnL: -$67.2

Yes position

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182
Potential profit: $182
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158
Potential profit: $158
User PnL: -$1.74

No position

Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $148
User PnL: -$111.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $714.88

Yes position

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $478.08

Yes position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.52

Yes position

Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $400.26

Yes position

Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $377.3

sleepers position

Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.74

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 - 22 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.9

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.8

Over position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.65

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $201.04

Yes position

Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.74

Southern Illinois Salukis position

Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.02

Yes position

Will Green Left win <20 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.21

Yes position

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.95

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Right Now" during the fundraiser?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.48

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.38

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.78

No position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.92

Yes position

Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.77

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Massive" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.94

Yes position

Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.68

No position

Will Leavitt say "Epstein" or "Hoax" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.16

Yes position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $90.93

No position

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?

No 38% 389 shares
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?

No 39% 148 shares
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 19% 485 shares
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 26% 485 shares
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 24% 544 shares
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?

No 53% 537 shares
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?

No 71% 349 shares
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5

Under 54.9% 1,925 shares
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?

No 82% 349 shares
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

OpenAI 13.9% 865 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?

No 42% 680 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?

No 42% 912 shares