No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $80.4K
- Potential payout
- $80.93K
- Potential profit
- $526.05
- User PnL
- $10.38K
Polymarket Trader
cashy
@cashyPoly
0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.17K
- Realized PnL
- $314.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $15.26K
- Potential payout
- $15.84K
- Potential profit
- $578.06
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $12.33K
- Potential payout
- $13.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $815.58
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.34K
- Potential profit
- $12.34K
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- User PnL
- -$777.77
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $7.1K
- Potential payout
- $8.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $596.16
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $6.69K
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $622.16
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $66.1
- Potential payout
- $7.78K
- Potential profit
- $7.71K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $3.64K
- Potential payout
- $7.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$247.58
No position
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.94K
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $81.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $59.31
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $462.14
- Potential payout
- $4.86K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $4.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.76K
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $537.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $924.08
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $240.76
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $133.98
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $69.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $88.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$163.32
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $682.11
- Potential payout
- $741.42
- Potential profit
- $59.31
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $88.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555
- Potential profit
- $555
- User PnL
- -$444
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $476.19
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $176.37
- Potential payout
- $177.97
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- User PnL
- $5.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.59K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.46K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.46K
Yes position
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89K
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21K
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.67K
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43K
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $10.24K
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.6K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.77K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.04K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86K
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.7K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.25K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2K
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?No 97.7% 6,017.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 3,740.81 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 72.7% 4,491.85 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 73.6% 4,314.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 69.6% 3,779.11 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 84% 14.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 72.7% 9,990.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 86% 2,893.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 45% 5,968.16 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 62.6% 4,029.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 55% 1,063.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 24.5% 4,340.55 shares