Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Geraldnbr
0x8f57902bced0e51c4ed7476acd75432fbfc5a9d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.02
- Realized PnL
- -$0.58
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
PSG position
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next Pope be from Europe?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "51st State" this week?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No 77% 2.6 shares
- Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?No 89% 1.46 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 59% 3.39 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No 85.8% 1.17 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes 9.9% 10.1 shares
- Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No 58% 2.32 shares
- US-China trade deal before June?Yes 88% 4.16 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No 91% 1.1 shares
- US-China trade deal before June?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Trump say "51st State" this week?Yes 50% 4 shares
- Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes 64% 1.56 shares