Polymarket Trader

MelonCusk

0x8f660b4dc3fe1526b49d289946f13009e2c7b986

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10
Realized PnL: $67.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.97K
Potential profit: $46.97K
User PnL: -$52.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.15K
Potential profit: $26.15K
User PnL: -$69.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.43K
Potential profit: $7.43K
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.63K
Potential profit: $6.63K
User PnL: -$7.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88K
Potential profit: $4.88K
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.85K
Potential profit: $4.85K
User PnL: -$16.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$43.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.02K
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$277.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.98K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 966.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 5% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 4.5% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 9% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 64% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 63% 33 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 78.3% 202.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 75.2% 219.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 58% 1,122.07 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Yes 15.1% 216.3 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Yes 21% 54.77 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Yes 24% 26.56 shares