No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Heisenberger
0x8f73ed9de7e58ccffa1b5b7df9161f355af90546
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.2
- Realized PnL
- $100.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.38
- Potential profit
- $77.38
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $60.24
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.87
- Potential profit
- $27.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.88
- Multiplier
- 4.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $14.38
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $8.17
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.88
- Potential profit
- $12.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceAustria 12.2% 8.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 89% 8.06 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 42.4% 20 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 82% 12.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 62% 8.06 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 61% 8.2 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 6% 16.67 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 40% 12.5 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 60% 15 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 13% 10 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 60% 10 shares