Polymarket Trader

Aptemuyc

0x8f7cd4451b7113c8df6a733e70a8b2dbb1d214b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $290
Realized PnL: $4.53K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.5K
Potential profit: $18.5K
User PnL: -$499.5

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.52K
Potential profit: $12.52K
User PnL: -$498.46

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$520

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$1.26K

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $6.57K
User PnL: -$525.2

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.48K
Potential profit: $6.48K
User PnL: -$2.92K

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $4.93K
User PnL: -$394.8

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 25?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
User PnL: -$30.54

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$989.54

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $290
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $973.6
Potential profit: $973.6
User PnL: -$116.83

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $763.62
Potential profit: $763.62
User PnL: -$115.27

Yes position

No airdrop in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.96
Potential profit: $684.96
User PnL: -$100.01

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $290
User PnL: -$92.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.6

No position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 22% 2,000 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?

Yes 12% 947.2 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Yes 40% 482 shares
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 45% 873.18 shares
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 8% 2,751.99 shares
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Yes 15.7% 5,767.92 shares
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 33% 1,719.9 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 3.9% 2,500 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 4.9% 252.45 shares
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Yes 34.2% 3,510 shares
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?

Yes 15.1% 763.62 shares
No airdrop in 2025?

Yes 14.6% 684.96 shares