Polymarket Trader

WilliamLawrence4766

@BoltzDeola81563

0x8f859f00ca2f081ba9211d18b0efdeee9cd4e5a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.51K
Realized PnL: $5.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $726.34
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $852.66
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $378.96

No position

Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $363.6
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $646.4
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$444.4

Afghanistan position

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $177.54
Potential payout: $807
Potential profit: $629.46
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $15.33

Yes position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $96.24
Potential payout: $401
Potential profit: $304.76
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $36.09

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $78.38
Potential payout: $285
Potential profit: $206.63
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $9.98

Afghanistan position

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.2%
Current value: $9.66
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.34
Multiplier: 4.14x
User PnL: -$6.7

No position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will América FC win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $815.4

Yes position

Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $784.89

Yes position

Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $407.55

Yes position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $388.74

Yes position

Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.61

Yes position

Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $249.98

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 9, 1PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.98

No position

NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" or "Golfing" this week? (March 22)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.74

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $182.19

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $137.19

Yes position

Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.75

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.28

Colorado State Rams position

Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $128.7

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.05

Yes position

Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.15

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.84

Yes position

Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.09

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $84.24

No position

Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.37

Under position

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kevin Warsh" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.04

Yes position

Will the Social Democrats win 40-44 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? (April 19)

No 64% 31 shares
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

No 22% 934 shares
Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? (April 19)

No 77% 31 shares
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

No 23% 934 shares
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner

No 1.1% 667 shares
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No 52% 968 shares
Will Starmer say "Renewables" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No 74% 968 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?

No 64% 150 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

No 37% 11 shares
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?

No 37% 693 shares
Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?

No 64.1% 1,189 shares
Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?

No 67.2% 1,189 shares