Polymarket Trader

0x8F8793088dF893D5Cae27F520d43282f8F092b4D-1779010038488

0x8f8793088df893d5cae27f520d43282f8f092b4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.27K
Realized PnL: $110.01
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $483.19
Potential payout: $565.14
Potential profit: $81.94
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$16.81

Jakub Mensik position

HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.63
Potential profit: $537.63
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $517.31
Potential payout: $536.07
Potential profit: $18.76
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $17.31

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $97.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $402.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.5

Anthropic position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $388.37
Potential payout: $488.52
Potential profit: $100.15
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$11.63

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $72.29
Potential payout: $451.81
Potential profit: $379.52
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$45.18

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $397.75
Potential payout: $449.44
Potential profit: $51.69
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $335.78
Potential payout: $379.41
Potential profit: $43.63
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $35.78

Yes position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $255.48
Potential payout: $357.32
Potential profit: $101.84
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $55.48

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $198.39
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $124.19
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$1.61

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $286
Potential payout: $313.59
Potential profit: $27.6
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $112.5
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $33.22
Potential payout: $288.89
Potential profit: $255.67
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$16.78

Yes position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.46

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $109.86

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $25.6

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.29

Yes position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.27

Yes position

Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.31

Yes position

Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$34.48

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.7

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$267.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 62% 322.58 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 67.3% 600 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 63.8% 313.59 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 64% 312.5 shares
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

No 9.1% 224.68 shares
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 56% 357.32 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 447.76 shares
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino

Jakub Mensik 93% 537.63 shares
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

Yes 17.3% 288.89 shares
Grok 4.4 released by June 15?

Yes 0.7% 191.66 shares
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Yes 6.6% 500 shares
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79.1% 379.41 shares