No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $28.06K
- Potential profit
- $28.05K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.24
Polymarket Trader
John.Gault
0x8fa09944c991735a0b170749219efedca35f72d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.03K
- Realized PnL
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $4.34K
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $944.99
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $472.78
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $366
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $87.13
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $177.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $22.4
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $19.6
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $171.86
- Potential payout
- $183.12
- Potential profit
- $11.26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $95.26
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $109.56
- Potential payout
- $132.08
- Potential profit
- $22.52
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $25.03
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $97.49
- Potential payout
- $112.7
- Potential profit
- $15.21
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $28.74
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $89
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $96.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Current value
- $91.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.85
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$56.85
No position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $876.14
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.27
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.8
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.96
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.75
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.83
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 28,000 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 26.5% 500 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 27.9% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 70% 7.47 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 39% 42 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 66% 80 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 75% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 91% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?No 93.6% 501.39 shares
- Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?No 99.7% 501.39 shares
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?No 69.7% 400 shares