Polymarket Trader

0x8Fa49e81b0DB711E759cD29f0073a239933C4Aab-1780860534666

0x8fa49e81b0db711e759cd29f0073a239933c4aab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $199.98
Realized PnL: -$44.04
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $61.45
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$78.54

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $120.65
Potential payout: $310.56
Potential profit: $189.91
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $70.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $17.88
Potential payout: $103.09
Potential profit: $85.22
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$2.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.13
Potential profit: $80.13
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.22
Potential profit: $66.22
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.92
Potential profit: $15.92
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 6.9% 144.98 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 5% 201.2 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 4.3% 230.6 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

No 3.4% 293.14 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 103.09 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 62.8% 15.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Down 32% 16.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Down 30% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Up 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Up 77% 6.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Up 70% 8.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Up 61% 8.2 shares