Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $206.08
- Potential payout
- $206.19
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $6.08
Polymarket Trader
car0571
0x8fafeff94e1e290c83cc9eb153702f238eccb56d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $450.87
- Realized PnL
- $45.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $26.34
- Potential payout
- $143.54
- Potential profit
- $117.2
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $61.01
- Potential payout
- $67.42
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $58
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $8.67
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $49.45
- Potential payout
- $59.23
- Potential profit
- $9.77
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.22
- Potential profit
- $51.22
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.1%
- Current value
- $19.83
- Potential payout
- $45.98
- Potential profit
- $26.15
- Multiplier
- 2.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.66
- Potential profit
- $39.66
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.4%
- Current value
- $30.15
- Potential payout
- $39.47
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $21.98
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.96
- Potential profit
- $15.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.87
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 74°F or higher on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 84% 59.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?Yes 94% 15.96 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?Yes 97% 206.19 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 90% 66.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 89% 67.42 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?No 43.5% 45.98 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 76% 39.47 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?Yes 19.7% 13.69 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?Yes 7.3% 13.7 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.9% 143.54 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 342.05 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 342.05 shares