Polymarket Trader

abura2025

0x8fba2c29715c41dd87e781c23373aa1e0549d08a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $124.99K
Realized PnL: $871.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $88.25K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $2.95K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $7.35K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $92.65K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$2.95K

Mayweather position

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $25.52K
Potential payout: $41.5K
Potential profit: $15.98K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$24.49

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.8%
Current value: $18.24K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $11.76K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $8.94K

Yes position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $850
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.15K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.95K

No position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$4.5K

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $8.45K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.25K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.05K

No position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.95K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$3.05K

Yes position

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.95K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $6.65K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $550
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.45K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$950

No position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $3.05K

No position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $4.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.95K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$2.75K

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.15K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.45K

No position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $5.95K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.05K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $955
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.04K
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $145

Yes position

Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $275
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.72K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$925

No position

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.55K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$650

No position

Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $6.85K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $3.15K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $3.85K

Yes position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.4K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$2.1K

No position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.15K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $849.99
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.75K

No position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $7.25K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$450

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Phillies

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.69K

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Phillies

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.25K

Phillies position

Phillies vs. Brewers

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.58K

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.13K

Mariners position

Mariners vs. Blue Jays

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45K

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.5K

Brewers position

Cubs vs. Brewers

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.7K

Venezuela position

Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.55K

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Brewers

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36K

Mariners position

Blue Jays vs. Mariners

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.03K

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.67K

Dodgers position

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.47K

Dodgers position

Phillies vs. Dodgers

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.2K

Dodgers position

Brewers vs. Dodgers

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5K

Padres position

Padres vs. Giants

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5K

Dodgers position

Reds vs. Dodgers

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.73K

Yankees position

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.6K

Giants position

Eagles vs. Giants

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7K

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5K

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Brewers

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.34K

Yes position

Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6K

Chicago White Sox position

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.27K

Colts position

Colts vs. Chargers

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4K

Astros position

Astros vs. Dodgers

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.26K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Philadelphia Phillies 43% 373.1 shares
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 97.35 shares
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32% 615.34 shares
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33% 93.44 shares
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 48% 2,217.23 shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Los Angeles Dodgers 54% 1,403.08 shares
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Kai Asakura 73% 50,000 shares
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Zhang Mingyang 69% 4,399.72 shares
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Rei Tsuruya 77% 109.01 shares
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Kai Asakura 72% 10 shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros

Milwaukee Brewers 53% 9,606.05 shares
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays 58% 9,999.97 shares