No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$257
Polymarket Trader
shrimpfarmer
0x8fc9880b1f0ce738f0e937403d4b35caeff3828a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.61K
- Realized PnL
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $566.4
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $472.87
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$52.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $664.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $335
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $307.11
- Potential payout
- $861.45
- Potential profit
- $554.34
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- -$244.49
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.11
- Potential profit
- $345.11
- User PnL
- -$310.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $950.19
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.89
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.56
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.52
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.09
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.24
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$217.04
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 55.3% 16 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 83% 361.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 58.9% 339.27 shares
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes 72% 69.44 shares
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes 72% 69.44 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 72% 200 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.6% 630.17 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.2% 3,240.7 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 51% 588.24 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 93% 215.11 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 85% 30 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 85.4% 100 shares