Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $53.14
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
CarolBeer
@BlindMonkey9
0x8fce065d5820ea3deb72976640290959bb952566
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.27K
- Realized PnL
- $9.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $244.36
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $160.56
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $84.31
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $5.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $554.73
- Potential payout
- $645.03
- Potential profit
- $90.3
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $434.68
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $550.14
- Potential payout
- $636
- Potential profit
- $85.86
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $15.9
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $562.82
- Potential payout
- $635.95
- Potential profit
- $73.13
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $73.1
Y
Yes position
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $600.04
- Potential profit
- $599.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$86.63
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $20.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $579.3
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $500.04
- Potential profit
- $491.29
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $438.55
- Potential payout
- $490
- Potential profit
- $51.45
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $27.93
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $398.21
- Potential payout
- $440.01
- Potential profit
- $41.8
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $35.45
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $99.2
- Potential payout
- $404.88
- Potential profit
- $305.69
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $15.36
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $317.35
- Potential payout
- $404.01
- Potential profit
- $86.66
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $249.33
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $223.08
- Potential payout
- $374.92
- Potential profit
- $151.84
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$10.37
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $342.04
- Potential payout
- $358.9
- Potential profit
- $16.87
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $74.86
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $283.95
- Potential payout
- $290.04
- Potential profit
- $6.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $204.1
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $55.9
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $94.91
- Potential payout
- $223.32
- Potential profit
- $128.41
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $213.69
- Potential payout
- $220.08
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $93.38
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $124
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $76
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189.3
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $151.49
- Potential payout
- $156.74
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $51.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.34
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.08
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.92
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.24
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.45
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.19
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.26
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.61
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.75
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.33
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.78
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.38
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.42
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.76
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $291.86
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $288.4
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.44
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.72
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $261.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.46
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?No 16.1% 31.58 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5% 29.8 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 100 shares
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over 58% 1.72 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes 12% 52.48 shares
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over 58% 17.93 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 95.3% 11 shares
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over 36% 52.45 shares
- Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No 96.7% 20 shares
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over 58% 3.26 shares
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over 36% 11.11 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes 13% 52.48 shares