Polymarket Trader

echk

0x8fd47efefbbd8fe7ea2e865eac85309c806eaba5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $718.9
Realized PnL: $8.06K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $650
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.35K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$24.83

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $51.3
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$49.48

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.6
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $560
User PnL: -$20.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $650.19

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.03

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.8

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.8% 48.01 shares
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 5 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 5.6% 30 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 21% 5,000 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 3.7% 560 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 127.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 93.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 121 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 6.71 shares
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 28.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 46.7% 19.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Down 99.1% 14.34 shares