Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
shadow2502
0x8fd7014d9b94c89b33c83d22b9e4182af23c4dea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.4
- Realized PnL
- $1.98
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 17?No 99.9% 5 shares