Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $138.62
- Potential payout
- $30.8K
- Potential profit
- $30.67K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
Polymarket Trader
amused85
0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.31K
- Realized PnL
- $214.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Megaquake by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.43K
- Potential profit
- $19.43K
- User PnL
- -$3.59K
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $166.34
- Potential payout
- $15.84K
- Potential profit
- $15.68K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.69K
- Potential profit
- $14.69K
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $123.05
- Potential payout
- $14.48K
- Potential profit
- $14.35K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.8K
Yes position
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.06K
- Potential profit
- $13.06K
- User PnL
- -$107.21
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $108.93
- Potential payout
- $12.82K
- Potential profit
- $12.71K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.26K
- Potential profit
- $12.26K
- User PnL
- -$3.66K
Yes position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $82.74
- Potential payout
- $11.82K
- Potential profit
- $11.74K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$751.59
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $242.25
- Potential payout
- $11.82K
- Potential profit
- $11.58K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.16K
Yes position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $759.85
- Potential payout
- $11.69K
- Potential profit
- $10.93K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$889.39
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.69K
- Potential profit
- $11.69K
- User PnL
- -$3.82K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.41K
- Potential profit
- $11.41K
- User PnL
- -$3.02K
Yes position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $221.67
- Potential payout
- $10.56K
- Potential profit
- $10.33K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.55K
- Potential profit
- $10.55K
- User PnL
- -$1.79K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.75K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.47K
- Potential profit
- $10.47K
- User PnL
- -$3.61K
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.92K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- User PnL
- -$2.68K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.65K
- Potential profit
- $9.65K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $13.64
- Potential payout
- $9.09K
- Potential profit
- $9.08K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$987.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.91K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $57.47
- Potential payout
- $8.84K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$920.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16K
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.62K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on August 30 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $112K on August 28 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33K
Yes position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on August 27 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 18?No 10% 2,000 shares
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao 52% 480.77 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?No 12% 800 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 88% 1,000 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 1,000 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 57% 1,000 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 49% 1,000 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 57% 1,000 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No 39% 800 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 48% 400 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 64% 400 shares