Hugin-og-Munin

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $708
Potential profit: $708
User PnL: -$236

No position

Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $587.3
Potential payout: $631.5
Potential profit: $44.21
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $32.81

No position

Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $26.52
Potential payout: $631.5
Potential profit: $604.98
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$18.59

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $20.97
Potential payout: $574.5
Potential profit: $553.53
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$12.8

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $475
Potential profit: $475
User PnL: -$119.65

Yes position

Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $10.08
Potential payout: $438.27
Potential profit: $428.19
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$8.21

Yes position

Will Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $216.22
Potential payout: $436.8
Potential profit: $220.58
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $67.48

No position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $384.09
Potential payout: $434
Potential profit: $49.91
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $65.06

Yes position

Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $426.03
Potential profit: $403.88
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$28.31

Yes position

Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $423.75
Potential profit: $420.15
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$8.63

Yes position

Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $22.89
Potential payout: $412.44
Potential profit: $389.55
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$10.05

Yes position

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $153.78
Potential payout: $410.62
Potential profit: $256.84
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $58.45
Potential payout: $410.43
Potential profit: $351.98
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $9.15

Yes position

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 28.4%
Current value: $116.48
Potential payout: $410.28
Potential profit: $293.8
Multiplier: 3.52x
User PnL: $18.93

Yes position

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $11.48
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $398.52
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$14.6

E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS position

LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $390
User PnL: -$128.7

Yes position

Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $161.7
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $223.3
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will Ghana be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $109.69
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $275.31
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$37.39

B8 position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371
Potential profit: $371
User PnL: -$109.84

Yes position

Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $75.18
Potential payout: $358
Potential profit: $282.82
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $6.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.99
Potential profit: $317.99
User PnL: -$118.52

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $18.26
Potential payout: $304.35
Potential profit: $286.09
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$26.46

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $92.14
Potential payout: $292.5
Potential profit: $200.36
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $18.24

Yes position

Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $20.56
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $269.44
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: $1.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.01

No position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $849.76

Yes position

Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.59

No position

Bahrain vs. Syria: Draw at halftime?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $330.45

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $312.52

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.78

Fnatic position

Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.91

Yes position

Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $230

Misa Esports position

Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.38

No position

Will Frank Lucas be the Republican nominee for OK-03?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $213.21

Virtus.pro position

Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $210.6

No position

Syria leading at halftime?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.32

Yes position

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Draw at halftime?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.41

Bunny position

Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Bunny (+1.5)

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.1

Under position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.77

9z position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.03

G2 position

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.21

No position

Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $159.8

Kasatkina position

Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.52

No position

Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.46

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?