No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$133.8
Polymarket Trader
mistertuna
0x8febe0c389f5992b5fba544e9e63aa0997f68908
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.42K
- Realized PnL
- $5.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $262.64
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$146.32
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$640
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.4%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $767.74
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$244.98
Yes position
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$808.31
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$600.13
Patriots position
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$440
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $794
- Potential profit
- $794
- User PnL
- -$497.42
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $57
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $543
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $162.75
- Potential payout
- $525
- Potential profit
- $362.25
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$228.47
No position
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $457.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $62.97
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$50
NRG position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$224.4
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$228
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $262
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $138
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $50
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $349.99
- User PnL
- -$175.5
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$108
RED Canids position
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$102.4
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $225
- User PnL
- -$11.87
Alcaraz position
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$76
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$54.5
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $556.58
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.91
No position
Discord IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.44
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.86
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.83
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.5
No position
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.6
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.93
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.21
B8 position
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.75
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Education" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.6
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" 5+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Kalshi stops offering sports event contracts in Massachusetts by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.52
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Working Class" 4+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OKX IPO in 2026?Yes 16% 500 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 78.8% 470 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 400 shares
- OKX IPO in 2026?Yes 26% 116 shares
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 82.6% 100 shares
- ChatGPT Outage by March 15?No 40% 15 shares
- OKX IPO in 2026?Yes 18% 27 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 70.8% 250 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 79% 200 shares
- Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No 78% 220 shares
- Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No 54% 90 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 89.7% 55 shares