Polymarket Trader

0x8fed...a1f9

0x8feda380128930f5edf6025f247b12312fa6a1f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $262.98
Realized PnL: $2.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $39.57
Potential payout: $121.77
Potential profit: $82.19
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.05
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $77.38
Potential profit: $77.31
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.32

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $8.51
Potential payout: $77.38
Potential profit: $68.87
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$7.74

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $27.37
Potential payout: $73.28
Potential profit: $45.91
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $18.84
Potential payout: $58.89
Potential profit: $40.04
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $14.54
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $15.44
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $23.43
Potential profit: $11.36
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.96
Potential payout: $20.09
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $12.59
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $10.76
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Antonio Reynoso win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $11.05
Potential payout: $11.45
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $10.65
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will Elaine Culotti finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Antonio Reynoso win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.02
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Nicki Minaj finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $10.02
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $6.69
Potential profit: $6.49
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.86
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.02

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.17

Under position

England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.87

G2 Esports position

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.89

No position

Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.56

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.44

Sri Lanka position

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.47

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.2

No position

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.26

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.12

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.37

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.32

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.43

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.58

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.89

No position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.51

No position

Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.27

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.91

Yes position

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.56

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.85

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.64

No position

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 99.7% 10.03 shares
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Yes 28% 29.73 shares
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

No 77% 12.99 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

Croatia 20% 50 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 20.41 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 82.6% 24.1 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Under 44% 22.73 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

No 34% 29.41 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

No 34% 29.41 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 60% 5.47 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 59% 1.58 shares