Polymarket Trader

paisano1978

0x8feea1f954b8fa0c3ec903f2a258f74bc1f3850a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.8K
Realized PnL: $5.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $119.3
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $950.66
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $78.18

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $224.44
Potential payout: $977.96
Potential profit: $753.51
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $208.14

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $100.24
Potential payout: $977.96
Potential profit: $877.71
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: $83.94

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $201.95
Potential payout: $977.96
Potential profit: $776.01
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $185.65

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $57.21
Potential payout: $977.96
Potential profit: $920.75
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $40.91

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $977.96
Potential profit: $964.75
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $56.23
Potential payout: $977.96
Potential profit: $921.72
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $39.93

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $50.36
Potential payout: $977.96
Potential profit: $927.59
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $34.07

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $38.63
Potential payout: $977.96
Potential profit: $939.33
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $22.33

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.96
Potential profit: $402.96
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $5.44
Potential payout: $402.96
Potential profit: $397.52
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $88.63
Potential payout: $311.1
Potential profit: $222.47
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $44.19

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $200.66
Potential payout: $311.1
Potential profit: $110.44
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $156.22

Yes position

Will Vinícius Jr. win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $34.33
Potential payout: $310.64
Potential profit: $276.32
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $26.75

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $68.34
Potential payout: $310.64
Potential profit: $242.3
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $60.76

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $57.47
Potential payout: $310.64
Potential profit: $253.17
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $49.89

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $121.15
Potential payout: $310.64
Potential profit: $189.49
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $113.57

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $69.89
Potential payout: $310.64
Potential profit: $240.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $62.32

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $310.64
Potential profit: $307.38
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $24.07
Potential payout: $310.64
Potential profit: $286.57
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $25.7
Potential payout: $302.3
Potential profit: $276.61
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $18.32

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $110.34
Potential payout: $302.3
Potential profit: $191.96
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $102.97

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $21.16
Potential payout: $302.3
Potential profit: $281.14
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $13.79

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $105.81
Potential payout: $302.3
Potential profit: $196.5
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $98.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $641.97

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.65

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $308.98

Yes position

Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.65

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $229.38

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.28

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.76

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.6

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.96

Sri Lanka position

ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.85

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.1

Essex position

T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.78

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.02

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.46

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.23

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.48

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bukayo Saka win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 25 shares
Will Cody Gakpo win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 70 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 42.95 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 300 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Under 73% 27.4 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 59% 33.9 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5

Over 51% 39.22 shares
Panama vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 53% 37.74 shares
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 35.71 shares
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 55% 36.36 shares
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 52% 19.23 shares
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares