Yes position
Trump signs housing bill by end of July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $217.76
- Potential payout
- $8.89K
- Potential profit
- $8.67K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$315.52
Polymarket Trader
0x8ff6aE95830deeD1e9a3a2242246A8b750F58fe1-1736977244835
0x8ff6ae95830deed1e9a3a2242246a8b750f58fe1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $287.98
- Realized PnL
- $3.97K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $70.23
- Potential payout
- $542.3
- Potential profit
- $472.07
- Multiplier
- 7.72x
- User PnL
- $8.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $929.81
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.45
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $485.77
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $373.92
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $287.47
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.84
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.97
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.26
Yes position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.94
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $103.58
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.77
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.15
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.95
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.79
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.02
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
No position
Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.3% 542.3 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 32% 333.07 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 33% 333 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 85% 652.94 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 73.5% 1,904.68 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 70.9% 1,174.23 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 75% 0.3 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.9% 369.86 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 71% 3,428.44 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,739.01 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 67.2% 1,493.43 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 73% 496 shares