Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $421.53
- Potential payout
- $493.02
- Potential profit
- $71.49
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Polymarket Trader
Orangtaco
0x90073d33aee38857a0cf3fc7e658986b8dbbcf89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $743.91
- Realized PnL
- $808.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $374.85
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $162.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $150.11
- Potential payout
- $201.49
- Potential profit
- $51.38
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.17
- Potential profit
- $36.17
- User PnL
- -$17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.46
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.94
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.61
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $52.32
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $47.41
Yes position
Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.86
Yes position
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.88
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-23?
Ends Aug 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.64
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.25
Yes position
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.07
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Yes position
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-04?
Ends Sep 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
NRG position
Valorant: NRG vs GIANTX
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.18
Hawks position
Heat vs. Hawks
Ends Jan 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
Marlins position
Marlins vs. Rockies
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.95
Yes position
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85.2% 493.02 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96.1% 439.67 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 69.5% 201.49 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 384.62 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 23% 96.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?Yes 47% 36.17 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 88.1% 150.98 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 98.4% 135.78 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 95% 135.79 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.7% 146.55 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 47% 96.19 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 60% 250 shares