Polymarket Trader

skewerpacil

0x900939fada83b830ae89e39c031e11e44bd91621

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $236.64
Realized PnL: $4.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $64.68
Potential profit: $64.29
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.23
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $53.1
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.79
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.94
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$5.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.91
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $45.65
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.45
Multiplier: 10.99x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $44.11
Potential payout: $49.2
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $35.47
Potential payout: $43.28
Potential profit: $7.81
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$6.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.96
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.96
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.12
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.96
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $35.54
Potential payout: $37.79
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $26.08
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $33.64
Potential profit: $28.43
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $29.13
Potential payout: $33.12
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.2%
Current value: $21.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $8.66
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$2.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $263.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $157.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 1?

Yes 0.6% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 1?

Yes 0.2% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?

Yes 14% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?

Yes 1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 1?

Yes 0.1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?

Yes 1.2% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 1?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 1?

Yes 0.1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 1?

Yes 0.1% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 1?

Yes 7% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?

Yes 2.5% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1?

Yes 0.2% 5 shares