Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $34.61
- Potential payout
- $3.46K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$65.39
Polymarket Trader
jgdbvr
0x90134a5c61876dc0f35b72eed743605daae5fc71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $920.19
- Realized PnL
- $45.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- User PnL
- -$312.88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$86.7
Yes position
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $237.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $180
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$20
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $145.69
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$87.31
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $305.77
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $848.08
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $5.77
No position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$313.99
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $16.49
- Potential payout
- $392.57
- Potential profit
- $376.08
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$33.97
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.71
- Potential profit
- $39.71
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $6.62
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $860.02
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.62
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.29
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $562.68
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.07
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $295.19
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $284.2
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $280.74
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.52
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $247.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.1
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 1,153.85 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 19% 526.84 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 15% 1,333.33 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.9% 3,460.98 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 18% 740 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 2,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 14% 12,042.71 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 39.2% 1,011.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 16% 1,875 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 15% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 14% 2,142.86 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 87.1% 3,508.85 shares