Polymarket Trader

rstn

0x903ec67358270e50e9a0e85fd62d0cb6f3aa1c46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.15
Realized PnL: $40.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump fires campaign manager in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.93
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3
Potential profit: $3.3
User PnL: -$2

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.15
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$0.44

Miami position

Miami vs. SMU Mustangs

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$2

Houston position

West Virginia vs. Houston

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74
Potential profit: $1.74
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Clemson position

Duke vs. Clemson

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Magic position

Magic vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.7%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump and Biden both win nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

North Texas position

Navy vs. North Texas

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Texas position

Vanderbilt vs. Texas

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Memphis position

Memphis vs. Rice

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Celtics position

Clippers vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Jaguars position

Jaguars vs. Raiders

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Eala position

ASB Classic: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Raptors position

Grizzlies vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Muchova position

Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ajla Tomljanovic

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Louisiana Tech position

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

76ers position

76ers vs. Nets

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?

No 97.5% 1.03 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

No 88% 1.14 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

No 77% 1.3 shares
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 97.2% 1.03 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No 80% 1.25 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 73% 1.37 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 98.6% 1.01 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

No 92% 1.09 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Yes 97.1% 1.03 shares
Weed rescheduled by June 30?

No 93% 1.08 shares