No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Polymarket Trader
Gaelan854
0x9048990aab55bf3d66cc13e1adfbf89dd59f44d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes 5.1% 43 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 80.5% 20 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 91.2% 37 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 79% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 80% 22 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 95.4% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 49% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48% 31 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 22 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 38% 61 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 34% 40 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 90.3% 49 shares