Polymarket Trader

0x904986d515401C655D18378Db8b385E3b2520522-1778970064853

0x904986d515401c655d18378db8b385e3b2520522

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $186.68
Realized PnL: $61.89
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.01
Potential profit: $326.01
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.74
Potential profit: $298.74
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.92
Potential profit: $238.92
User PnL: -$30.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.83
Potential profit: $230.83
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $182.7
Potential payout: $224.2
Potential profit: $41.5
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $172.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.66
Potential profit: $221.66
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.84
Potential profit: $191.84
User PnL: -$47.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.82
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $92.36
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.09
Potential profit: $96.09
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.45
Potential profit: $94.45
User PnL: -$25

Korea Republic position

Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.54
Potential profit: $46.54
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.66
Potential profit: $10.66
User PnL: -$4.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Up 40% 10.66 shares
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)

Korea Republic 16% 62.5 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.5% 224.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Up 25% 191.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Down 6.5% 230.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Up 60% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Up 5% 298.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Down 38% 7.89 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2.5% 120 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Yes 0.6% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Up 15.6% 96.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Up 50% 30 shares